Please read this, understand it, and digest it before signing up.

If you join this site, you will lose money in the short term. It will happen often. In fact it is not possible to have a value bet portfolio without losing runs. You need to be comfortable with this. You will make money in the long run, but you will lose money in the short term.

You should only be using recreational money to bet with. If your bankroll is less than £1000 then I suggest your bankroll is not big enough to bet at Bookiebashing. If you rely on this money to pay your mortgage, to feed your kids or to get you out of debt – we don’t want you to subscribe. If you’re going to apply a strategy of 101% EV at 20/1 odds and review your profit/loss after 300 bets then don’t be surprised if you find yourself within the 49% that show a loss.

Here is the normal distribution profile of someone betting at average odds 2.5, 110%EV over 2000 bets:

And here is the normal distribution profile of someone betting at average odds 4, 105%EV over 500 bets:

Both strategies are positive expectation, but the chance of being in the red increases relative to sample size, EV and odds magnitude.

You can run simulations for value betting using our variance model available here. The more you bet and the higher the EV – the higher the likelihood that you will make money. Everything we do is based on mathematics, and the fact remains that a robot following our instructions over infinite bets will make infinite pounds. But just like the stock market – things get bumpy. And if you are here looking for a guaranteed income, or you cannot afford to lose your bankroll then do not sign up.

Addendum

Gambling addiction applies whether you’re a long term Loser or a long term Winner.

Support for Problem Gambling:

GamCare operates a national telephone and online helplines for anyone affected by a gambling problem and provides both face to face and online counselling.

Gambling Therapy provides advice and support through a live help, forums and email.

GAMSTOP is a free service that enables you to selfexclude from all online gambling companies licensed in Great Britain.