Race Meetings Notes

https://www.bookiebashing.net/tools/race-meetings/#/

Who is it for?

This is for advantage players who seek out race meeting edges at bookmakers and at the spreads sites.

What does it do?

The software tracks prices on the Betfair exchange and summarises it for the user. There is a plethora of live data available from favourite performance to jockeys to win x races. Each data set is described below.

What does it not do?

The tool does not find value bets at the bookmakers. It is to be used by those who would like to explore value for themselves.

All Courses Summary

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Notation Description
Meeting UK and Ireland Meetings in the next 48 hours
Races Number of races left to run / Number of races at that meeting in the day
Favs – means The expected favourite performance Spreads, BFSB, Paddy, Betfred, and WH
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
50Up – means The expected total that the favourite market makes up over 50 (e.g. if Favourites settle at 90, this market settles at 40) (specific to Spreadex)
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
Ton Up – means The expected total that the favourite market makes up over 100 (e.g. if Favourites settle at 125, this market settles at 25)
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
#1s – means The expected performance of the horses that are number 1 on the racecard, aggregated over all races at the meeting.
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
BW – means The expected performance of the horses that are at the bottom of the racecard (last named) aggregated over all the races in the meeting.
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
Winning Fav – means The expected number of winning favourites at this meeting (Lower racecard number is assigned the favourite when joint or co favs)/
  Dead heat = 0.5pts, Race void or fav withdrawn = 0.3pts
Double Numbers – means The expected number of the racecard number of the winning horse om each race doubled
Favs – Over Probability distriburtion for user-defined favourite performance
Winning Favs – Over xwinnersinyevents calculation for user defined number of winning favourties
View View the data for the individual races at this meeting
Aggregate Combine the data from more than one meeting together into a user-defined aggregate

Meeting Summary

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Jockey Summary

Notation Description
Favourite Performance The odds of Under, Between and Over the user-defined variables for the total performance of the horses sent off as favourite for all races in the named meeting
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
50 Up The fair price for the total that the favourite market makes up over 50 (e.g. if Favourites settle at 90, this market settles at 40)
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
Ton Up The fair price for the total that the favourite market makes up over 50 (e.g. if Favourites settle at 125, this market settles at 25)
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
Racecard #1s The fair price for the total performance of the horses that are number 1 on the racecard, aggregated over all races at the meeting.
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
Bottom Weights The fair price for the total performance of the horses that are at the bottom of the racecard (last named) aggregated over all the races in the meeting.
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
Favourite Wins The odds of Under, Between and Over the user-defined variables for the total number of winning favourites at this meeting (Lower racecard number is assigned the favourite when joint or co favs)
  Dead heat = 0.5pts, Race void or fav withdrawn = 0.3pts
Favourite Rush The fair price for the total number of winning favourites at the meeting with points awarded as follows:
  0 Winners = 0 points
  1 win = 10 points
  2 wins = 20 points
  3 wins = 33 points
  4 wins = 50 points
  5 wins = 70 points
  6+ wins = 100 points
  With joint favs, the lower racevcard number is deemed favourite. A dead heat counts as a win.
Stop At A Winner The odds of Under, Between and Over the user-defined variables for the calculations of 10 x the race number for the first Favroutie to win. If no favourite wins it is returned as the number of favourites + 1.
   
Double Numbers The odds of Under, Between and Over the user-defined variables for the racecard number of the winning horse om each race doubled
   
Squared Numbers The fair price for the racecard number of the winning horse multiplioed by itself for all races at this meeting. E.g. if racecard number 7 wins, thir race will add 49 to the squared numbers total.
Jockeys A list of jockeys racing at this meeting, with a mean of the Jockey performance and the odds of them having over/under x winners.
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
SMJI Super Mega Jockey Index is the same as jockey performance however if they jockey gets 2 wins they get 50 points for the 2nd winner (rather than 25), and 75 points for a 3rd winner (instead of 25)
  1st = 25 pts, 2nd = 10 pts, 3rd = 5 pts
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Notation Description
First number? Jockey Performance mean (25/10/5)
SMJI Super Mega Jockey Index

Race Favourites Summary

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Notation Description
Runners Number of runners in the race
Favourite Name of the current favourite
Last Last Price Matched
Green/Yellow/Red/Grey %s Odds of fav coming 1st (green), 2nd (yellow), 3rd (red), 4th+ (grey)
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Notation Description
Favourite Performance The total performance of the horses sent off as favourite for all races in the named meeting
Faourite Wins The expected number of favourites to win
Racecard #1s Performance The expected performance of the horses that are number 1 on the racecard, aggregated over all races at the meeting.
Optimistic Based on the back prices on the exchange
Line Based on logic around a fair price from the exchange (BB best estimate)
Pessimistic Based on the lay prices on the exchange

Race Summary

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Notation Description
Double Numbers Expected mean of doubling the winning horses number
Squared Numbers Expected mean of squaring the winning horses number
Number Horse number in race
Horse / Jockey / Trainer Horse name, jockey name, trainer name
Performance Expected number of points from the performance index
0-100 % probability of the horse winning
50-30-20-10 or 50-25-10 Race index – same as performance but with different points allocated to 4 places / 3 places

Old Meetings

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Notation Description
Double Numbers Expected mean of doubling the winning horses number
Squared Numbers Expected mean of squaring the winning horses number
Number Horse number in race
Horse / Jockey / Trainer Horse name, jockey name, trainer name
Performance Expected number of points from the performance index
0-100 % probability of the horse winning
50-30-20-10 or 50-25-10 Race index – same as performance but with different points allocated to 4 places / 3 places