The PGA returns next week behind closed doors with the Charles Schwab Challenge. The bookiebashing golf tracker will be available to subscribers from Tuesday 9th June to help narrow down the value betting propositions.
Bookmakers are making a big push with concessionary places. Paddy Power 10 places, Skybet 9 places, William Hill 8 places + top price at the top of the field, Boylesports 8 places and Betfred/Coral and Betway are 7 places (1/5 odds). Bet365 are 6 places 1/4 odds and top price on all golfers at the top of the field.
Key metric at the Colonial Country Club
Kevin Na won the Charles Schwab Challenge in 2019 at 50/1.
Na wasn’t top of many 2018/19 statistics leading up to that tournament, but he did feature highly in Shots Gained around the green. The Par 70 Colonial Country Club rewards accuracy around the green. Jordan Spieth (8th last year), Tony Finau (2nd last year) and Jason Day (didn’t compete) all have current form.
Based on Shots Gained Around the Green, we’re keeping an eye on the following golfers and waiting patiently to see who the bookmakers have overpriced:
- Jason Day
- Phil Mickelson
- Byeong Hun An
- Jordan Spieth
- Tony Finau
| PLAYER NAME | Shots Gained Around the Green
(Year to Date 2020: Avg.) |
Exchange Lay Price
(07/06/20) |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Day | 1.193 | 75 |
| Byeong Hun An | 0.602 | 110 |
| Tony Finau | 0.581 | 48 |
| Peter Uihlein | 0.569 | 700 |
| Jordan Spieth | 0.562 | 55 |
| Alex Noren | 0.544 | 280 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0.527 | 270 |
| Matt Wallace | 0.504 | 350 |
| Steve Stricker | 0.486 | 820 |
| Rory McIlroy | 0.466 | 10.5 |
| Brian Stuard | 0.413 | 1000 |
| Phil Mickelson | 0.413 | 190 |
| Carlos Ortiz | 0.394 | 620 |
| Chez Reavie | 0.377 | 300 |
| Keegan Bradley | 0.375 | 480 |
| Webb Simpson | 0.323 | 27 |
| Ian Poulter | 0.3 | 360 |
| Bud Cauley | 0.294 | 370 |
| Xinjun Zhang | 0.292 | 1000 |
| Patrick Reed | 0.281 | 38 |
| Bill Haas | 0.274 | 830 |
| Kevin Na | 0.263 | 70 |
| Richy Werenski | 0.261 | 830 |
| Rory Sabbatini | 0.257 | 250 |
| Adam Hadwin | 0.248 | 220 |
| Kevin Tway | 0.242 | 1000 |
| Dylan Frittelli | 0.241 | 400 |
| Cameron Davis | 0.235 | 1000 |
| Justin Thomas | 0.226 | 18.5 |
| Si Woo Kim | 0.224 | 350 |
| Justin Rose | 0.204 | 55 |
| Matt Kuchar | 0.19 | 60 |
| Xander Schauffele | 0.19 | 44 |
| Joel Dahmen | 0.184 | 150 |
| Daniel Berger | 0.183 | 95 |
| Matt Jones | 0.175 | 1000 |
| Nick Watney | 0.173 | 400 |
| Abraham Ancer | 0.171 | 95 |
| Harris English | 0.157 | 80 |
| Branden Grace | 0.148 | 500 |
| Billy Horschel | 0.142 | 110 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 0.14 | 34 |
| Brooks Koepka | 0.133 | 38 |
| Nate Lashley | 0.132 | 1000 |
| Shane Lowry | 0.131 | 100 |
| Kyoung-Hoon Lee | 0.131 | 1000 |
| Bronson Burgoon | 0.125 | 1000 |
| Josh Teater | 0.125 | 930 |
| Zac Blair | 0.121 | 1000 |
| Wyndham Clark | 0.121 | 710 |
| Cameron Smith | 0.12 | 250 |
| Maverick McNealy | 0.119 | 440 |
| Jon Rahm | 0.119 | 15.5 |
| Brice Garnett | 0.112 | 1000 |
| Jason Dufner | 0.11 | 270 |
| Lanto Griffin | 0.11 | 400 |
| Talor Gooch | 0.105 | 400 |
| Chad Campbell | 0.071 | 1000 |
| C.T. Pan | 0.067 | 500 |
| Ryan Moore | 0.067 | 320 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 0.067 | 55 |
| Brendon Todd | 0.059 | 200 |
| Scott Harrington | 0.056 | 1000 |
| Doug Ghim | 0.056 | 1000 |
| Patrick Rodgers | 0.046 | 580 |
| Kevin Kisner | 0.043 | 110 |
| J.T. Poston | 0.029 | 310 |
| Scott Brown | 0.028 | 1000 |
| Kevin Streelman | 0.028 | 400 |
| Chesson Hadley | 0.022 | 1000 |
| Brian Harman | 0.021 | 190 |
| Jimmy Walker | 0.003 | 320 |
| Mark Hubbard | 0 | 1000 |
| Collin Morikawa | -0.004 | 55 |
| Russell Knox | -0.008 | 290 |
| Brendan Steele | -0.012 | 750 |
| Adam Long | -0.013 | 400 |
| Charley Hoffman | -0.015 | 360 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | -0.03 | 70 |
| Jim Furyk | -0.032 | 380 |
| Rickie Fowler | -0.033 | 44 |
| Marc Leishman | -0.035 | 55 |
| Sungjae Im | -0.035 | 42 |
| Sam Ryder | -0.042 | 690 |
| Adam Schenk | -0.058 | 1000 |
| Matthew NeSmith | -0.06 | 1000 |
| Patton Kizzire | -0.063 | 1000 |
| Joaquin Niemann | -0.066 | 170 |
| Emiliano Grillo | -0.078 | 320 |
| Danny Willett | -0.079 | 440 |
| Graeme McDowell | -0.085 | 750 |
| Brian Gay | -0.085 | 1000 |
| Andrew Putnam | -0.089 | 460 |
| Tom Hoge | -0.089 | 330 |
| Sepp Straka | -0.094 | 710 |
| Harry Higgs | -0.099 | 660 |
| Tyler McCumber | -0.115 | 1000 |
| Sergio Garcia | -0.119 | 500 |
| Vaughn Taylor | -0.121 | 610 |
| Dustin Johnson | -0.134 | 36 |
| Denny McCarthy | -0.14 | 1000 |
| Beau Hossler | -0.144 | 800 |
| Zach Johnson | -0.15 | 470 |
| Scott Piercy | -0.151 | 300 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | -0.162 | 870 |
| Bubba Watson | -0.18 | 350 |
| Gary Woodland | -0.193 | 80 |
| Andrew Landry | -0.231 | 950 |
| Sung Kang | -0.231 | 530 |
| Pat Perez | -0.232 | 1000 |
| J.J. Henry | -0.232 | 1000 |
| Troy Merritt | -0.239 | 1000 |
| Danny Lee | -0.248 | 180 |
| Rafa Cabrera Bello | -0.275 | 390 |
| Henrik Norlander | -0.276 | 1000 |
| Cameron Champ | -0.278 | 560 |
| Chris Kirk | -0.283 | 540 |
| Ryan Palmer | -0.283 | 130 |
| Robby Shelton | -0.31 | 680 |
| Doc Redman | -0.323 | 1000 |
| Tyler Duncan | -0.337 | 580 |
| Corey Conners | -0.353 | 210 |
| Lucas Glover | -0.361 | 590 |
| Jason Kokrak | -0.396 | 290 |
| Max Homa | -0.433 | 130 |
| Jazz Janewattananond | -0.456 | 460 |
| Matthew Wolff | -0.579 | 260 |
| Keith Mitchell | -0.661 | 590 |
| Jim Herman | -0.73 | 1000 |
| John Senden | -0.775 | 1000 |
| Viktor Hovland | -1.054 | 120 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | -1.183 | 100 |
Weather forecast
If you’re interested in some inplay action it’s worth keeping an eye on the weather. The 5th hole has quite a reputation and is said to be particularly difficult if the wind gets up.