We have analysed the results of  Shots on Target from 12,786 players on the xSOT tool at bookiebashing.

• Data is from 12th September 2020 (the launch of the tool) to 4th May 2023.
• The 12,786 players resulted in 8,612 shots on target. 
• 1,579 matches are in the dataset.

The tool provides a bias margin slider that will be different for each user depending on their setting.

• The xSOT tool estimated between 8,435  (0% slider) and 9,549 (50% slider) Shots on Target. 
• The optimal position of the slider was between 7 and 8%.
• At 7% the tool estimated 8589.3 SOT, 0.26% under the historical recorded amount.
• At 8% the tool estimated 8621.8 SOT, 0.11% over the historical recorded result.
• Closing lines were recorded as data points for each player. 
• The analysis only looked at players who started the game. It did not consider players who came on as a substitute.
• The data is available in the excel sheet at the bottom of this page.