World Cup DDHH through 54 of 64 matches

  • Double Delight Hatrick Heaven is a concession at Betfred. They offer double the odds if the first goalscorer gets a second goal, and triple the odds if they get a third.
  • Long term DDHH results are  21% ROI (to 6/12/22). Up to date results available here

Anecdotally DDHH has been labelled as “diabolical” at the World Cup. The below is a review of the +EV bets sent to the bookiebashing tracker 1 hour before Kick Off. Bookiebashing DDHH bets use an in house calculation for FGS. The Player xG tracker does allow for an option to use Betfair Exchange FGS. We do not track the ROI of bets vs the exchange. 

Matches+EV bets'VoidedLiveStaked (Unit Win £200 on FGS)P/LROI

A table of all players designated as +EV in the 1 hour before kick off is below. 

  • We assessed and returned the calculation for DDHH EV of all 1,188 starting players
  • 2.02% of players were determined to be +EV bets
  • ROI of all +EV World Cup DDHH bets has been +68% up to 6th December
  • 24 of the 31 +EV players were live (the player started in the lineup, or came on as a sub before a qualifying goal had been scored)
  • 7 were void due to starting on the bench and either not playing or entering the pitch after a qualifying goal had been scored
  • 19 bets lost
  • 5 bets won. There was a winner in the very first match.
  • Lionel Messi is 3 of the 5 winners
  • There has been 1 Double Delight
  • Average back odds were 16.7
  • Average EV was 108.7%
PlayerMattchBack OddsFair OddsEVOutcome
Enner Valencia Qatar v Ecuador 65.79103.65%DD
Felix Torres Qatar v Ecuador 3433.58101.24%Lost
Phil Foden England v Iran 76.99100.12%Void
Callum Wilson England v Iran 54.31115.89%Void
Harry Kane England v Iran 3.753.59104.45%Lost
Lautaro Martinez Argentina v Saudi Arabia 4.54.02112.04%Lost
Lionel Messi Argentina v Saudi Arabia 3.252.67121.53%FGS Only
Kylian Mbappe France v Australia 3.53.19109.84%Lost
Sofiane Boufal Morocco v Croatia 1312.75101.98%Lost
Romain Saiss Morocco v Croatia 5146.53109.61%Lost
Ansu Fati Spain v Costa Rica 4.54.35103.49%Void
Lois Openda Belgium v Canada 5.54.92111.84%Void
Jonathan David Belgium v Canada 119.70113.37%Lost
Kalidou Koulibaly Qatar v Senegal 3429.38115.74%Lost
Harry Kane England v USA 43.64109.87%Lost
John Stones England v USA 3430.82110.33%Lost
Edson Alvarez Argentina v Mexico 5147.17108.12%Void
Lionel Messi Argentina v Mexico 43.55112.79%FGS Only
Miki Yamane Japan v Costa Rica 5147.54107.29%Lost
Alvaro Morata Japan v Spain 43.87103.23%FGS Only
Youssoufa Moukoko Costa Rica v Germany 4.334.06106.66%Void
Kim Young South Korea v Portugal 6758.10115.32%Lost
Cristiano Ronaldo South Korea v Portugal 54.74105.40%Lost
Raphael Guerreiro South Korea v Portugal 2928.09103.24%Void
Fabinho Cameroon v Brazil 2618.89137.63%Lost
Antony Cameroon v Brazil 98.15110.47%Lost
Pedro Dos Santos Cameroon v Brazil 5.55.28104.19%Lost
Eder Militao Cameroon v Brazil 3433.07102.82%Lost
Gabriel Martinelli Cameroon v Brazil 87.41108.01%Lost
Lionel Messi Argentina v Australia 32.80107.04%FGS Only