- Double Delight Hatrick Heaven is a concession at Betfred. They offer double the odds if the first goalscorer gets a second goal, and triple the odds if they get a third.
- Long term DDHH results are 21% ROI (to 6/12/22). Up to date results available here
Anecdotally DDHH has been labelled as “diabolical” at the World Cup. The below is a review of the +EV bets sent to the bookiebashing tracker 1 hour before Kick Off. Bookiebashing DDHH bets use an in house calculation for FGS. The Player xG tracker does allow for an option to use Betfair Exchange FGS. We do not track the ROI of bets vs the exchange.
| Matches | +EV bets' | Voided | Live | Staked (Unit Win £200 on FGS) | P/L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 31 | 7 | 24 | £906.71 | £615.51 | 67.88% |
A table of all players designated as +EV in the 1 hour before kick off is below.
- We assessed and returned the calculation for DDHH EV of all 1,188 starting players
- 2.02% of players were determined to be +EV bets
- ROI of all +EV World Cup DDHH bets has been +68% up to 6th December
- 24 of the 31 +EV players were live (the player started in the lineup, or came on as a sub before a qualifying goal had been scored)
- 7 were void due to starting on the bench and either not playing or entering the pitch after a qualifying goal had been scored
- 19 bets lost
- 5 bets won. There was a winner in the very first match.
- Lionel Messi is 3 of the 5 winners
- There has been 1 Double Delight
- Average back odds were 16.7
- Average EV was 108.7%
| Player | Mattch | Back Odds | Fair Odds | EV | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enner Valencia | Qatar v Ecuador | 6 | 5.79 | 103.65% | DD |
| Felix Torres | Qatar v Ecuador | 34 | 33.58 | 101.24% | Lost |
| Phil Foden | England v Iran | 7 | 6.99 | 100.12% | Void |
| Callum Wilson | England v Iran | 5 | 4.31 | 115.89% | Void |
| Harry Kane | England v Iran | 3.75 | 3.59 | 104.45% | Lost |
| Lautaro Martinez | Argentina v Saudi Arabia | 4.5 | 4.02 | 112.04% | Lost |
| Lionel Messi | Argentina v Saudi Arabia | 3.25 | 2.67 | 121.53% | FGS Only |
| Kylian Mbappe | France v Australia | 3.5 | 3.19 | 109.84% | Lost |
| Sofiane Boufal | Morocco v Croatia | 13 | 12.75 | 101.98% | Lost |
| Romain Saiss | Morocco v Croatia | 51 | 46.53 | 109.61% | Lost |
| Ansu Fati | Spain v Costa Rica | 4.5 | 4.35 | 103.49% | Void |
| Lois Openda | Belgium v Canada | 5.5 | 4.92 | 111.84% | Void |
| Jonathan David | Belgium v Canada | 11 | 9.70 | 113.37% | Lost |
| Kalidou Koulibaly | Qatar v Senegal | 34 | 29.38 | 115.74% | Lost |
| Harry Kane | England v USA | 4 | 3.64 | 109.87% | Lost |
| John Stones | England v USA | 34 | 30.82 | 110.33% | Lost |
| Edson Alvarez | Argentina v Mexico | 51 | 47.17 | 108.12% | Void |
| Lionel Messi | Argentina v Mexico | 4 | 3.55 | 112.79% | FGS Only |
| Miki Yamane | Japan v Costa Rica | 51 | 47.54 | 107.29% | Lost |
| Alvaro Morata | Japan v Spain | 4 | 3.87 | 103.23% | FGS Only |
| Youssoufa Moukoko | Costa Rica v Germany | 4.33 | 4.06 | 106.66% | Void |
| Kim Young | South Korea v Portugal | 67 | 58.10 | 115.32% | Lost |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | South Korea v Portugal | 5 | 4.74 | 105.40% | Lost |
| Raphael Guerreiro | South Korea v Portugal | 29 | 28.09 | 103.24% | Void |
| Fabinho | Cameroon v Brazil | 26 | 18.89 | 137.63% | Lost |
| Antony | Cameroon v Brazil | 9 | 8.15 | 110.47% | Lost |
| Pedro Dos Santos | Cameroon v Brazil | 5.5 | 5.28 | 104.19% | Lost |
| Eder Militao | Cameroon v Brazil | 34 | 33.07 | 102.82% | Lost |
| Gabriel Martinelli | Cameroon v Brazil | 8 | 7.41 | 108.01% | Lost |
| Lionel Messi | Argentina v Australia | 3 | 2.80 | 107.04% | FGS Only |