Month: August 2019

We have a model that we use for to calculate equity in PGA and European Tour golf events. Each week we use the processes below to develop a portfolio of value bets for each tournament based on the available back price, places paid and each way terms. In this page we discuss: Results over the …

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  Below we present three methods for estimating over x goals in y games: Method A – using the exchange Daily Goals Market Method B – using over 0.5 to over 7.5 exchange data for each game Method C – using a discrete probability distribution This is followed by a case study using real data …

Three methods for estimating the probability of over x goals in y games Read More »