BookieBashing ComboBets tracker – an updated study of p/l Sep 2021

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Mar-Sep profit/loss (betting to win £200 across all bets in each game) Dec-Sep profit/loss (betting £100 on each bet) The latest results of the ComboBets tracker can be found here. Betting £100 on every bet that has come through the tracker would have resulted in -£130k. Background I won’t lie – the last time I wrote a blog (link here) …

US Open 2021

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The US Open 2021 (PGA Tour) takes place on the 17th June 2021. The bookiebashing golf tracker will be available to subscribers from Tuesday 15th June to help narrow down the value betting propositions. Key metrics at Torrey Pines, San Diego, California Strokes Gained Off the Tee, Driving Distance and Greens in Regulation are all key metrics at Torrey Pines …

Maximising stakes on restricted accounts

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A strategy for betting horses on restricted bookmaker accounts How can we maximise the amount of money we are getting down on horses at restricted bookmakers? The below shows an example at Skybet. Skybet can lift limits when betting on Reqeustabets and (seemingly) -EV propositions. But what if the 1% or 0.1% restricted account just won’t budge? Example 1: The …

UK Football 2020:21 – Fav / Dog performance

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Betting each favourite to win £200 at SP in the 2020/21 season Early in 2020 I wrote a blog about the poor performance of favourites in the English Premier League. Favourite Performance vs Boosts P/L There is correlation between the performance of favourites and the season-long p/l of boosts. Generally, we can make two assumptions about boosts at UK bookmakers. …

Spurs to score in both halves

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Angle: A boosts exists for spurs to score in both halves 6/4.7 at Smarkets. There are several ways to benchmark this bet. Poisson suggests 4.27 (although Poisson carries overdispensation at over 0 goals), Bookmaker top price with fav long shot bias suggests 4.08, Spurs o0.5 in the 1st and 2nd half at bookmakers with margin = 4.12. Looking at all …

4-week profit/loss results – Combobets

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BookieBashing have published Combination Bets on its Bet Tracker for some time. An example of a Combination type of bet is “RequestABet – Bordeaux v Marseille – Marseille to score 2+ goals, 5+ Marseille corners & 20+ Bordeaux booking pts 11/2”. On the 18th January 2020 we began recording the p/l of all of the +EV ComboBets we publish. These …

UK Football 2019:20 – Fav / Dog performance

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Betting each favourite to win £200 at SP in the 2019/20 season The graph below shows the results of betting each favuorite up to 2nd February 2020. This strategy would have resulted in profit in League 1 and League 2. Betting each fav would have resulted in -£2,180 in the EPL and -£2216 in the Championship. Across all four divisions …