PGA WorkDay Charity 2020

bashertom Public Blog

The 2020 PGA WorkDay Charity is a one-off event and the first of two weeks of tournament golf at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Ohio. This tournament fills the gap that the cancelled John Deere Classic left in the calendar. The bookiebashing golf tracker will be available to subscribers from Tuesday 7th July to help narrow down the value betting …

PGA Rocket Mortgage Classic 2020

bashertom Public Blog

The 2020 PGA Rocket Mortgage Classic was originally scheduled for late May, but will now be played on 2nd-5th July 2020. The bookiebashing golf tracker will be available to subscribers from Tuesday 30th June to help narrow down the value betting propositions. The concessionary places:  8 places 1/5 – Skybet, William Hill, Boyles, Paddy Power and BFSB. 7 places 1/5 …

PGA Travellers Championship 2020

bashertom Public Blog

The 2020 PGA Travelers Championship was originally scheduled for April, but will now be played on 25-28th June 2020. The bookiebashing golf tracker will be available to subscribers from Tuesday 23rd June to help narrow down the value betting propositions. The concessionary places:  Skybet 9 places 1/5, William Hill, Boyles, Paddy Power and BFSB 8 places 1/5 and bet365 and …

RBC Heritage 2020

bashertom Public Blog

The PGA continues closed doors with the RBC Heritage, originally scheduled for April. The bookiebashing golf tracker will be available to subscribers from Tuesday 16th June to help narrow down the value betting propositions. The concessionary places continue into week 2 of the return to golf.  Skybet 9 places 1/5, William Hill, Boyles, Paddy Power and BFSB 8 places 1/5 …

Charles Schwab 2020

bashertom Public Blog

The PGA returns next week behind closed doors with the Charles Schwab Challenge. The bookiebashing golf tracker will be available to subscribers from Tuesday 9th June to help narrow down the value betting propositions. Bookmakers are making a big push with concessionary places.  Paddy Power 10 places, Skybet 9 places, William Hill 8 places + top price at the top …

Using a normal Poisson distribution to estimate xG in the Bundesliga

bashertom Public Blog

Below we use a normal Poisson probability distribution to estimate the Total Number of Goals in five games in the Bundeslia on Saturday May 30th. To determine xG we use the following equation: xG is derived from the o2.5 goals price. That price is taken as: The Last Price Matched on the Exchange, as long as this is still between …

Betting on the US Masters

bashertom Public Blog

The Greens, the Putting and the Stimpmeter     The US Masters takes place over the 7,745 yards of Azaleas, pimento cheese sandwiches and green jackets at the Augusta National Golf Club. It takes place on the same course every April – and so data on form and historical performance become very relevant to decision making. The 2020 US Masters …

Why we bet Each Way on Golf

bashertom Public Blog

Benchmarking value in golf tournaments can involve a minefield of number-crunching. Not only do we have to analyse some of the largest fields in sports betting, but we also have to consider multiple objective and subjective data sets in our search for +EV value bets. Over a calendar year (one that is not affected by a global pandemic) there are …

Using statistics in golf betting

bashertom Public Blog

Drive for Show but Putt for Dough – is this accurate? Drive for Show but Putt for Dough: Bobby Locke (1917-1987) Was Bobby right? When we are value betting on golf it is useful to have some confidence in this statement. Some golfers simply can’t be trusted with the putter, even if they can out-drive all hazards on the way …

4-week profit/loss results – Combobets

bashertom Announcements, Public Blog

BookieBashing have published Combination Bets on its Bet Tracker for some time. An example of a Combination type of bet is “RequestABet – Bordeaux v Marseille – Marseille to score 2+ goals, 5+ Marseille corners & 20+ Bordeaux booking pts 11/2”. On the 18th January 2020 we began recording the p/l of all of the +EV ComboBets we publish. These …