Public Blog

The Hidden Cost of Cash Out: Why Bookmakers Love It

A Real Example – The Players Championship (Aberg) One of the most common questions from bettors is whether they should cash out when their bet is in a strong position. Bookmakers make this option look attractive, but in most cases the price offered is significantly below the true expected value of the bet. The break …

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When the Exchange Disagrees With the Boost – Who Do You Trust?

A situation cropped up recently that perfectly captures a common psychological hurdle in value betting. Bookie Bashing had Osimhen 1+ Shot on Target priced around 1.31 fair. Bet365 were running a Super Boost at EVS. Smarkets and Betfair were sitting between 1.60–1.70 most of the day. BSP settled at 1.69. The bet rated 125%+ in …

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Day 21 / 25 – Toms bets Sat 13th July + £7,320 profit

Two videoes today – a morning series of bets at the bottom, and an afternoon series of bets at the top. https://youtu.be/PhiR8IjklSc Toms note – we say on the video +£8,095 profit however on collection of a bet this morning we received a Rule 4 deduction we hadn’t noticed, and £774.32 has been shaved off …

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