Public Blog
Euro 2024 Tournament Bets
Please note we have had some contradictory information from QuinnBet/BetGoodwin. At first we were informed that their Total Goals line is 90 minutes only. They have subsequently informed us (after recording this video) that their Total Goals line includes Extra Time. What a mess! https://youtu.be/hWxCn_4cYbg When looking at tournament bets, be wary of different rules …
Win Both Halves: Expected vs Recorded results
https://youtu.be/rt-wm6UHGhY Bookiebashing models Win Both Halves (as well as all other goals markets) in-house using the Game Centre tool. The data here can be used to exploit edges both at bookmakers and exchanges. Win Both Halves has always been a divisive calculation at bookiebashing – because it is sometimes different to the prices available on …
PDC Darts World Championships 2024
Tomorrow night sees the official start of Christmas as the PDC World Championships get underway at the Ally Pally. In the last three years we have imported darts bets on to the public bet tracker using a variety of data sources, including our x180s tool. We have attained a positive ROI in each of these …
The £3.28 million bankroll of Sports Bets Analyst
Sports Bets Analyst posted a premium stake of £20,000 on an odds on bet that won. Great work guys. Let’s casually ignore the fact they celebrated a single bet that is statistically more likely to come in than not. As fellow Sports Bets Analysts, we thought we would do them the courtesy of recommending a …
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Lets discuss Anthony Gordon’s xG vs Dortmund tonight
Antony Gordon currently sits at 5.1-5.3 on the exchanges. A common misconception is that the exchange price is always the efficient price (the most accurate representation of his true probability). Some will always point to the exchange price and will argue “that’s what his price should be, I’ve been doing this for years”. So is …
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