Five Methods for Estimating Expected Value

bashertom Value Mugs

Benchmarking against a liquid market in an exchange Benchmarking against top price on Oddschecker Benchmarking against alternative markets on the exchange Benchmarking against a semi-liquid market in an exchange Heuristic Analysis of data   1. Benchmarking against a liquid market in an exchange A bookmaker boosts Chelsea, Bournemouth and Cardiff all to win 12/1. The lay price of the 1×2 …

Bankroll Management

bashertom Betting Tools, Value Mugs

Introduction How much should you bet on all these great value offers and boosts. Bankroll Management is a vital tool for all Bookie Bashers wanting to maximise their profits, whilst controlling the risk with appropriate bet sizing. An explanation of Kelly Criterion The Kelly Criterion is well known amongst gamblers and advantage players alike as a way to decide how …

A greater long term return than the stock market

bashertom Value Mugs

Can we really beat the stock market, consistently, over the long term? The short answer is – yes In the long answer below I explain how – I will show you how we can get as much money as we want down on a weekly average return of investment of 117% – which somewhat beats the annual ROI of a stocks …

More of the same from the Value Mugs

basherduncan Value Mugs

Following on from a solid start to the Premiership season and a fantastic start on the shop coupons we smashed it again on Saturday with the value mugs. It is fair to say we are running hot and it feels like a good time to be making hay. The EV is holding up, the smart money is doing it’s business …

Value Mugs – Results from bets 1001 to 2000

bashertom Value Mugs

For each value mug, if we had bet a stake that returned £200 profit on every bet Bookie Bashing posted above 107% from bets 1001 to 2000 then we would have profited by £10,256. Value bets 1 to 1000 returned £11,145 profit. The average stake would have been £30 These bets were posted in the value mugs forum from October …

Value Mugs – Results from bets 1 to 1000

bashertom Value Mugs

BETS 1 TO 1000 If we had bet a stake that returned £200 profit on every bet Bookie Bashing posted above 107% from bets 1 to 1000 then we would have profited by £11,445. The average stake would have been £34 Every bet was posted in the value mugs forum starting 9th September 2016. Of course we can’t get a …