bashertom

Ten World Cup Betting Edges – debunking the Myths from Reality

https://youtu.be/SYmhr4SaK7w Betting Unders in the World Cup Final Opposing England at English facing exchanges or bookmakers Betting on steamers Betting on secondary goal markets Football Coupons in shops Alternative outrights – e.g. Winning Confederation Player Goals (o/u in tournament, DDHH, FGS, 2+, 3+) Shots on Target Inplay Betting Arbitrage and Match Betting 1. Betting Unders …

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Predicting player 2+ and 3+ goals

In a previous blog we looked at the application of a Poisson probability distribution to predicting Shots on Target in a game: https://www.bookiebashing.net/2022/09/08/shots-on-target-and-poisson/ We applied the same empirical analysis to goalscorers and we did not determine the same fit between a modelling expectation and recorded goals. See the graph below for a prediction of the …

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Betbuilder coupon tool – monitor markets in games at scale

The BetBuilder Coupon Tool is an advanced tool for searching for value This tool helps us monitor the fair odds of different markets at a large number of games concurrently. You define what market(s) you want in each coupon, and you define what games you want in each coupon. The tool can monitor goals, corners …

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10bet voiding Mullinax 175/1 and paying out at 100/1 – Have You Been Impacted?

Last week Bookiebashing and the Smart Betting Club’s Weekly Golf Value service both highlighted Trey Mullinax as a value bet with the bookmaker “10bet” on the Barbasol Championship on Wednesday the 6th July. He won the event with a birdie on the last hole on Sunday the 10th July. Two days after the event completed …

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Multi Attribute Decision Analysis in Golf Betting

https://youtu.be/BwShXews7s0 Multi-Attribute Decision Analysis Multi-attribute Decision Analysis (MADA) is a sub discipline of mathematical science that applies advanced analytical methods to improve decision making. MADA employs techniques such as modelling, statistics, optimisation and operations research to arrive at optimal or near-optimal solutions to complex decision making problems. MADA involves the following steps: Identify the metrics …

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