Public Blog

BBAlgo vs Default: Jan – March 2023

Data (all +EV horses) taken at 12pm Date range: 01/01/23 – 20/03/23 Unit Win Strategy to win £200 on the Win Unique horses are chosen by “the first occasion recorded”. This is not necessarily top (or bottom) price, and could be any bookmaker. Download Horses

New Golf Tracker Bookmakers + Alternative Place Markets

New Bookmakers added to the Golf Tracker: Indies Shops The Pools Fitzdares 32Red Grosvenor Casumo Bwin SportingBet BarOneRacing StarSports Bresbet RhinoBet VirginBet PokerStars Sports Geoff Banks  In addition to the above existing bookmakers have added more “Alternative Place” markets. Early signs are showing that these are an excellent source of value. The following alternative place …

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Predicting player 2+ and 3+ goals

In a previous blog we looked at the application of a Poisson probability distribution to predicting Shots on Target in a game: https://www.bookiebashing.net/2022/09/08/shots-on-target-and-poisson/ We applied the same empirical analysis to goalscorers and we did not determine the same fit between a modelling expectation and recorded goals. See the graph below for a prediction of the …

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