Day 13 / 25 – Toms bets Fri 5th July + £3,927 profit
https://youtu.be/GWTxFyc_O_ghttps://youtu.be/WX3sR5jRccU
Announcements
Member feedback – have you had a £10k+ horse racing return?
Our marketing manager Vivi is looking to talk to bookiebashing members who have recently had a five or six figure (£10k+) return from a horse racing multiple (e.g. Lucky 15/31), or football coupon – or any BB edge. This will take the form of a series of questions for some marketing material for bookiebashing. If …
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What’s been happening and what’s on for the future of development
What have bookiebashing been doing in the last year? Some user feature requests are outstanding after 1 year. To answer what we have been doing in the last year: The priority has been the stability of the site and the currency of the odds. We historically had problems with DDOS attacks, with load issues and …
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BookieBashing ComboBets tracker – an updated study of p/l Sep 2021
Mar-Sep profit/loss (betting to win £200 across all bets in each game) Dec-Sep profit/loss (betting £100 on each bet) The latest results of the ComboBets tracker can be found here. Betting £100 on every bet that has come through the tracker would have resulted in -£130k. Background I won’t lie – the last time I …
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US Open 2021
The US Open 2021 (PGA Tour) takes place on the 17th June 2021. The bookiebashing golf tracker will be available to subscribers from Tuesday 15th June to help narrow down the value betting propositions. Key metrics at Torrey Pines, San Diego, California Strokes Gained Off the Tee, Driving Distance and Greens in Regulation are all …
Maximising stakes on restricted accounts
A strategy for betting horses on restricted bookmaker accounts How can we maximise the amount of money we are getting down on horses at restricted bookmakers? The below shows an example at Skybet. Skybet can lift limits when betting on Reqeustabets and (seemingly) -EV propositions. But what if the 1% or 0.1% restricted account just …
UK Football 2020:21 – Fav / Dog performance
Betting each favourite to win £200 at SP in the 2020/21 season Early in 2020 I wrote a blog about the poor performance of favourites in the English Premier League. Favourite Performance vs Boosts P/L There is correlation between the performance of favourites and the season-long p/l of boosts. Generally, we can make two assumptions …
UK Football 2019:20 – Fav / Dog performance
Betting each favourite to win £200 at SP in the 2019/20 season The graph below shows the results of betting each favuorite up to 2nd February 2020. This strategy would have resulted in profit in League 1 and League 2. Betting each fav would have resulted in -£2,180 in the EPL and -£2216 in the …
A discrete model for predicting corners
The Corners Problem Corners are not independent. A corner will often lead to another corner. They come in clusters. Poisson can be a useful model, but it is most precise when events that are being counted are independent and do not come in clusters. This means that the observed chance of 0 corners is higher …
Calculating Equity in PGA and European Tour Golf Events
We have a model that we use for to calculate equity in PGA and European Tour golf events. Each week we use the processes below to develop a portfolio of value bets for each tournament based on the available back price, places paid and each way terms. In this page we discuss: Results over the …
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